Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1
Ph.D student of Futures Studies, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran.
2
Assistant Prof, Department of Management, Faculty of Social Science, Imam Khomeini International University (IKIU), Qazvin, Iran.
Abstract
The military-power of I.R.I in the geography of Persian-Gulf and the Oman-Sea has become an important and deterrent factor for the country, which will play a great role in advancing the high-goals of the system in the coming-years. This military-power is based on the propellants that the current research will seek to identify in the horizon of 2034 with an exploratory approach. Therefore, the type of research is applied with a mixed-approach, which uses Delphi and expert panel-methods to identify drivers. The participating-experts are 9 experts in the interview and 34 in the Delphi-process. Using semi-structured interviews and library studies, 40 drivers were identified, using two Delphi-steps and placing experts' opinions on the Wilson matrix, the number of 10 effective drivers including the strategic depth of air systems, morale and motivation of human capital in the armed forces, territorial expansion, support weapons of the Ministry of Defense, the extensive and increasing development of military missile industries, the expansion of missile bases in country, arms and economic sanctions against country, Role of unit command and powerful leadership in the armed forces, the geographical and territorial conditions of country and the wide role of drones in air combat and Also, six surprises include the formation of a joint air defense force consisting of IRGC and the army independently, upgrading the command and control network based on artificial intelligence, cyber weapons, intelligent electronic and identification information systems, the use of emerging technologies in manned and unmanned systems and space-based radars, cosmic was identified.
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